Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.139473 0.163421 0.189784 0.220895 0.256538 0.296031 0.343030
2025-12-14 0.094745 0.125570 0.163312 0.212619 0.274992 0.350893 0.449832
2025-12-21 0.071286 0.103770 0.146859 0.207542 0.290017 0.397306 0.546366
2025-12-28 0.058692 0.092326 0.139965 0.211249 0.313824 0.454436 0.659695
2026-01-04 0.050618 0.085201 0.137043 0.218742 0.342116 0.518806 0.787507
2026-01-11 0.043751 0.078377 0.133046 0.223336 0.365698 0.577650 0.911788
2026-01-18 0.037782 0.071778 0.128122 0.225310 0.384748 0.630658 1.031150
2026-01-25 0.032631 0.065569 0.122728 0.225431 0.400254 0.678845 1.146318
2026-02-01 0.027949 0.059320 0.116244 0.222619 0.410180 0.718447 1.250454
2026-02-08 0.023954 0.053624 0.109836 0.218909 0.417784 0.754333 1.350687
2026-02-15 0.020051 0.047384 0.101472 0.210457 0.415895 0.773716 1.424400
2026-02-22 0.018929 0.046717 0.103647 0.221830 0.450508 0.857872 1.613711
2026-03-01 0.016050 0.041776 0.096759 0.215094 0.451383 0.883782 1.705521
2026-03-08 0.013572 0.037277 0.090137 0.208061 0.450959 0.907350 1.795214
2026-03-15 0.011646 0.033697 0.084917 0.203174 0.454039 0.937287 1.898270
2026-03-22 0.010587 0.032071 0.083792 0.206818 0.474529 1.001384 2.068945
2026-03-29 0.009881 0.031230 0.084343 0.214170 0.503290 1.083392 2.278902
2026-04-05 0.009077 0.029963 0.083687 0.218677 0.526367 1.155804 2.475055
2026-04-12 0.008225 0.028383 0.082025 0.220614 0.543977 1.218418 2.655969
2026-04-19 0.007386 0.026659 0.079733 0.220733 0.557466 1.273420 2.825023
2026-04-26 0.006522 0.024669 0.076441 0.217973 0.564111 1.314574 2.968569
2026-05-03 0.005732 0.022730 0.072979 0.214334 0.568297 1.350691 3.103896
2026-05-10 0.004881 0.020376 0.067974 0.206042 0.560591 1.360515 3.184717